Franken pulled me in to Air America. I know ‘some people’ found his show kinda corny but I loved it. For that reason and because I think he’ll do some good in Congress, I’m really hoping he comes out on top. Anyone else looking for some decent analysis on his prospects, check out this research. Synopsis: history says he has a great chance to make up the ~200 vote deficit, but just barely.
* * * Uila Update * * *
A 200 vote difference is statistical insanity. Though I suspect the insanity is only just beginning…
The recount in the Minnesota Senate race hasn’t even begun yet, but already the GOP is working to delegitimize it in advance, by smearing the man who will run it as a partisan Democrat.[…] the GOP gambit […] appears to be to cast public doubt on the integrity of the recount process, thereby bolstering Coleman’s claim that’s he’s the rightful winner and that a recount is unnecessary — just the strategy pursued by George Bush’s campaign in Florida in 2000.
Indeed, Coleman’s shrinking lead in the first count has already prompted him to try to question the ongoing vote counting. A lawyer for the campaign yesterday told The Politico: “We’re not going to sit idly by, while mysterious, statistically dubious changes in vote totals take place after official government offices close.”